基于OBE−Net深度学习算法的煤矿TBM掘进参数预测及可解释性分析

Prediction and Interpretability Analysis of TBM Excavation Parameters in Coal Mines Based on the OBE−Net Deep Learning Algorithm

  • 摘要: TBM硬岩掘进的安全高效控制是煤矿岩巷施工智能化的核心问题之一,掘进参数的精准预测是实现安全、高效、智能化施工的关键前提,对降低施工风险、优化掘进效能具有重要意义。针对现有预测方法在挖掘时序关联特征、超参数优化及模型可解释性等方面的不足,本文提出了一种融合超参数自动寻优与注意力机制的OBE−Net深度学习预测模型。该模型采用双向长短期记忆网络捕捉掘进参数的时序依赖关系,引入高效通道注意力机制实现特征权重的自适应优化,并利用Optuna框架对模型超参数进行自动全局寻优,旨在实现煤矿TBM掘进参数的高精度预测。研究依托淮南某煤矿TBM掘进岩石巷道的工程实测数据,以总推进力为预测目标对模型进行验证。结果表明:OBE−Net模型在测试集上取得了优异的预测性能,其决定系数达0.9756,均方根误差为0.0437,平均绝对误差为0.0336,性能显著优于单一的BiLSTM、GRU等基准模型,且在不同工程标段数据上表现出良好的泛化能力。基于SHAP框架的可解释性分析揭示各输入参数对预测结果的贡献度与影响程度,并将OBE−Net模型封装为独立可执行程序,为煤矿TBM智能掘进参数优化技术的落地应用奠定基础,也为同类工程的掘进参数预测提供方法借鉴与理论依据。

     

    Abstract: Safe and efficient control of hard rock tunneling by Tunnel Boring Machines is a core issue in the intelligent construction of coal mine rock roadways. Accurate prediction of TBM excavation parameters serves as a critical prerequisite for achieving safe, efficient, and intelligent construction, holding significant importance for reducing construction risks and optimizing tunneling performance. In response to the limitations of existing prediction methods in areas such as mining temporal correlation features, hyperparameter optimization, and model interpretability, this paper proposes an OBE−Net deep learning prediction model that integrates automatic hyperparameter optimization and an attention mechanism. The model employs a Bidirectional Long Short−Term Memory network to capture the temporal dependencies of the tunneling parameters, introduces an Efficient Channel Attention mechanism to achieve adaptive optimization of feature weights, and utilizes the Optuna framework for automatic global hyperparameter tuning, with the aim of achieving high−precision prediction of TBM tunneling parameters in coal mines. The research is based on engineering measurement data from a TBM−excavated rock roadway in a Huainan coal mine, with the total thrust force as the prediction target for model validation. The results indicate that the OBE−Net model achieved excellent predictive performance on the test set, with an R2 of 0.9756, an RMSE of 0.0437, and an MAE of 0.0336. Its performance is significantly superior to baseline models such as standalone BiLSTM and GRU. Furthermore, the model demonstrated good generalization capability across data from different engineering sections. Interpretability analysis based on the SHAP framework reveals the contribution and degree of influence of each input parameter on the prediction results. The trained OBE−Net model is encapsulated into a standalone executable program, laying a foundation for the practical application of intelligent TBM tunneling parameter optimization technology in coal mines. It also provides methodological reference and a theoretical basis for tunneling parameter prediction in similar projects.

     

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