全球磷矿资源开发利用现状及市场分析

Study on General Situation and Analysis of Supply and Demand of Global Phosphate Resources

  • 摘要: 全球磷矿资源丰富,保障程度高,但资源分布和产量极不均衡,目前全球磷矿资源供应中心正由北美、东亚等地区逐步转向北非和中东等地区。全球磷矿资源开发加权平均P2O5入选品位为19.61%,选矿回收率63.01%,中国"三率"调查数据表明我国磷矿平均入选P2O5品位为19.4%,选矿回收率为89.97%,磷矿开发利用水平较高。全球大型磷矿企业加权平均生产成本大约为57美元/t,中国为38美元/t,生产成本低于全球平均水平,但中国磷矿生产成本有逐步上涨趋势。现阶段,全球磷矿市场供大于求,随着摩洛哥、沙特等国优质磷矿资源大规模开发,磷矿供应过剩局面仍将持续,在矿业市场复苏、资源供给、粮食价格、利润空间等多重因素影响下,全球磷矿价格短期内小幅上涨,但出现大幅度上涨的可能性不大。

     

    Abstract: The global phosphate resources are abundant, but the distribution of them is uneven. The supply center of phosphate resources gradually transfers from North America and East Asia to North Africa and the Middle East. The global average grade of phosphate ore is 19.61%, and the ore dressing recovery is 63.01%. According to the "Three Indexes Survey" of China, the average feed grade of phosphate ore is 19.4%, the ore dressing recovery is 89.97%, indicating that the development and utilization of phosphate ore is relatively advanced in China. Compared with the global average production cost (57 $/t), the production cost in China (38 $/t) is relatively low, but it shows an upward trend. Due to the exploration of phosphate ore resources in Morocco, Saudi Arabia and other countries, the global market provides more phosphate ores than the demand, and this trend will be maintained. Under the influence of multiple factors, i.e., the mining market recovery, resource supply, food prices, profit margin, the global phosphate prices will present a modest rise rather than a sharp rise in the short term.

     

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